Cross-market research · focus on crypto assets
World → transmission → crypto → scenarios → verification
Understand reality.
Act on evidence.
AKSHAR GROUP is professional cross-market research. Every morning we connect rates, the dollar, liquidity and stock-market risk appetite with what happens in crypto assets. Not signals: a market picture, scenarios and verifiable statements.
We study markets, economies
and the forces shaping them.
Independent thinking.
Evidence-led decisions.
01 / Today's issue
Morning review
Monday, October 5, 2026
data as of 08:45 MSK / 05:45 UTC
Latest issue from October 5, 2026. A new one is not ready yet.
Market regime: Cautious (risk-off): pressure from rates, the dollar, fading crypto momentum, thin liquidity
- 01World: UST 10Y 5.262% and the dollar (DXY 102.35, +0.41% on the day) set tight financial conditions, while the stock market is calm (VIX 15.3).
- 02Transmission to crypto runs mainly through: rates, the dollar, stock-market risk appetite; BTC correlation with Nasdaq 0.58, with DXY −0.21; BTC ETFs +82.9 $m over 5 days.
- 03Crypto assets: BTC 85,720 (+1.11% over 24h, daily range 84,779–86,964), 11 of 15 radar assets rose over the day; base case — consolidation with a downside bias, with BTC failing to settle above 86,964.
Radar: selection from 18 instruments
| Instrument | Price | 24h | Direction · strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC Bitcoin | 85,720 | +1.11% | ◆ range ○○○ |
| ETH Ethereum | 2,705.2 | +0.53% | ◆ range ○○○ |
| SOL Solana | 120.46 | −0.10% | ◆ range ○○○ |
| XAU Gold | 4,147.0 | −0.04% | ▼ down ●●● |
| USOIL WTI crude | 90.000 | −1.19% | ▼ down ●●○ |
| ADA Cardano | 0.2687 | +10.44% | ▲ up ●●○ |
Events today and next 24h
- ISM Services PMI (Sep)
- HYPE Core Contributors monthly unlock (cliff, ceiling 9.92M HYPE)
For information only. Not individual investment advice. Full text
02 / What AKSHAR GROUP is
Research, not signals.
We explain what is happening in markets and why, and state in advance what would change our view.
Cross-market view
Crypto assets do not move in isolation: rates, the dollar, liquidity and equities set the backdrop. We show the channels through which it reaches crypto.
Not signals
We do not say what to buy or sell and give no personal advice. Each issue describes the picture, scenarios and the conditions for changing our view.
Verifiable
Every public statement is recorded with a condition, deadline and data source and checked automatically, with no cherry-picking or manual edits.
03 / Verification
An honest count of public forecasts
Towards statistics: 0 of 20 checked statements
04 / How the research is built
Reality before narrative.
Evidence before action.
World
Rates, the dollar, Fed liquidity, credit spreads, equities, volatility and commodities: the conditions set by the global market.
Transmission to crypto
The channels through which the backdrop reaches crypto: spot ETF flows, stablecoins, derivatives leverage, correlations, sentiment.
Crypto assets
Market regime, breadth, rotation, relative strength and an 18-instrument radar: direction, trend strength, volatility, levels.
Scenarios
Base and alternative scenarios, catalysts and explicit conditions that would change the view.
Verification
Public statements with a condition, deadline and source; automatic checks and an honest count.
Declining to make a one-sided call is also a result of analysis.
More on the method →05 / A connected world of capital
Different markets.
One model of reality.
A clear distinction between current scope and future direction.
Digital assets
Daily issue: 15 crypto assets, gold and oil
18 instruments on the radarBroader crypto coverage
Additional cryptocurrency venues
Development direction · timing not establishedGlobal markets
Equities · ETFs · Options · Futures
FX · Commodities · Bonds
06 / A founder’s perspective
A Letter
to the World.
Adamar Akshar, founder of AKSHAR.
The principles behind AKSHAR: understanding reality, acting on evidence and expanding human possibility.
Read the open letter →
The open letter is being prepared for publication and will appear here once approved.
Approved letter text to be supplied.
07 / Purpose beyond capital
Intelligence into capital.
Capital into human possibility.
AKSHAR is being built as an independent economic engine. Part of the value it creates supports WAIA — a human-centered technology ecosystem intended to make an intelligent future accessible to everyone.
Discover WAIA →08 / See. Understand. Trust. Use.
Understand more.
Decide better.
Read us. Watch us. Test our thinking.
Decide for yourself.